-2024 NFL Schedule -Strength of Schedule
MOCK DRAFT
Ask the Commish.Com 2024 Draft Kit
Jahan Dotson's 2023 season was disappointing after a promising rookie campaign, characterized by inefficiency in a pass-heavy Commanders offense. However, Curtis Samuel's departure to the Bills opens up opportunities for Dotson to rebound in Year 3. Despite his struggles, Dotson showed flashes of potential in games where Samuel was absent or limited, posting strong numbers. With the Commanders' passing game relying heavily on volume over efficiency, Dotson, along with teammate Terry McLaurin, will depend on improved quarterback play from Jayden Daniels to elevate their fantasy value. Dotson's red-zone involvement in 2023 signals his potential for increased scoring opportunities with better quarterback performance.
When Palmer was healthy, the third-year receiver seamlessly stepped up in the absence of Mike Williams (knee) and established himself quickly as a reliable target opposite Keenan Allen for quarterback Justin Herbert. The 24-year-old had at least seven targets in four straight games prior to leaving the Week 8 contest against the Bears due to a knee sprain that drew an injured-reserve stint. With cap woes possibly impacting the return of both Allen and Williams, Palmer could see a significant role in 2024 alongside first-round pick Quentin Johnston in an offense that figures to see major changes from a coaching perspective.
Khalil Shakir concluded his second season on a high note, shining in the absence of Gabe Davis with impressive performances. Over the last three games, he caught 16 of 17 targets for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns, showcasing his reliability and big-play ability. Shakir topped the NFL in catch rate (88%) and generated the highest passer rating (141.5), while leading the Bills in receiving EPA and ranking 16th overall in the league. Despite earning a larger role in the offense for 2024, he faces competition for targets from second-round rookie Keon Coleman and veteran slot WR Curtis Samuel. Still, he is the only wide receiver on the roster who has caught a pass from Josh Allen in a game.
Demario Douglas emerged as a surprise contributor for the Patriots in 2023, showcasing his playmaking ability despite failing to find the end zone. Leading the team with 561 receiving yards without a touchdown, he demonstrated consistent involvement in the passing game with an 18% target share. From Week 7 onwards, Douglas maintained a significant role, posting a 21% target share and earning praise for his performance. However, the Patriots' decision to draft two wide receivers this year introduces competition, potentially impacting Douglas's role in the offense moving forward.
Dontayvion Wicks made significant contributions to the Packers' offense during Christian Watson's absence, showcasing his big-play ability and reliability as a target. With 39 receptions for 581 yards and 5 touchdowns, Wicks demonstrated his potential to be a valuable asset in the passing game. Despite being a fifth-round rookie, he ranked among the top rookies in yards per route run, hinting at his promising future in an offense led by Jordan Love. As a deep sleeper, Wicks has the opportunity to emerge as a key playmaker in the Packers' ascending offense. We like Wicks as a No. 4 Fantasy receiver entering the season, but hopefully, he can develop into something more. The problem is the Packers have a loaded receiving corps with Christian Watson, Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs, and all three might be ahead of Wicks on the depth chart to open the year.
Marvin Mims Jr., the second-year wideout for the Broncos, stands to benefit from the departure of Jerry Jeudy, which opens up more playing time and opportunities for him in the offense. Mims is a sleeper receiver thanks to his rare speed. He'll compete for playing time this preseason with the Broncos. Though Mims found the end zone just once as a rookie, he did manage to rack up at least 16 receiving yards on eight of his 22 receptions. That kind of efficiency will get him noticed in Denver, where there's fierce competition expected for all of their receiving roles this preseason. View Mims as a late-round pick in all kinds of leagues, but especially in Best Ball formats.
Expect Wilson to compete for a decent target share this season with the Cardinals. He notched at least six targets in five of 13 games as a rookie last year but managed 14-plus PPR points just twice. The team's addition of Marvin Harrison Jr. at receiver is a lock to impact Wilson's contributions, making him more of a low-end bench player in deeper redraft leagues, even though he offers some size to the Cardinals receiving game. Expect him to get taken in Round 13 or later, and probably only in deeper full-PPR leagues.
Jermaine Burton emerged as a standout receiver during his senior year at Alabama, boasting a 30% dominator rating and showcasing his dynamic playmaking abilities. His time at Georgia also demonstrated his talent, despite facing competition for targets. Notably, Burton's deep-threat capability was highlighted by his high average depth of target (aDOT) and impressive efficiency (zero recorded drops in 2023) making him a promising prospect for the Bengals after being drafted in the third round. While concerns exist regarding occasional off-field issues, Burton's potential impact in Cincinnati's passing game could be significant, especially given the uncertainty surrounding Tee Higgins' future with the team.
Darnell Mooney's potential as a FA steal in the upcoming season is evident despite a challenging and injury-marred previous campaign. His track record of commanding a significant target share of 27%, especially during his standout performances in 2021-2022, underscores his ability to thrive in an offense. With a clear path to the WR2 role in Atlanta's receiving corps, Mooney could emerge as a valuable asset, particularly in a case of an injury. Coupled with his impressive yards after the catch per reception, Mooney's presence adds depth and reliability to the upgraded Falcons' passing game.
Rashid Shaheed enjoyed a solid 2nd season, as a boom-or-bust option. He totaled over 1,000 air yards on just 75 targets (14% target share). Shaheed excelled in making big plays, as seen in his 31 catches of over 20 yards (14th). He scored 132.6 fantasy points, averaging 8.3 points per game. Shaheed was ranked 49th among wide receivers in points per game.