-2025 NFL Schedule -Strength of Schedule
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Ask the Commish.Com 2025 Draft Kit
It was another up-and-down (more down) season for Stevenson. He dealt with a foot injury and benchings related to fumble issues. Overall, he finished as the RB27 in fantasy points per game with snooze-worthy per-touch numbers. Among 46 qualifying backs, he ranked 38th in explosive run rate, 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 32nd in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). All of these dings led to the team adding to the backfield with their selection of TreVeyon Henderson. Stevenson could still retain a goal-line and early down role for the Pats, but his ceiling is capped, and Henderson could be leading this backfield in snaps and touches quickly in 2025. Stevenson is an RB3/flex.
Etienne had an incredibly disappointing season last year as the RB37 in fantasy points per game. He dealt with a shoulder issue (Week 4) and hamstring problems (Week 6). In Weeks 1-3, he averaged 15 touches and 67.4 total yards. In Weeks 10-18, after he was over the hamstring woes, he averaged 14 touches and 57.6 total yards. His per-touch efficiency in the 11 games that he was at his healthiest last year was putrid. Etienne had an 8% missed tackle rate and only 2.30 yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Those are back up level worthy tackle-breaking numbers. Etienne now finds himself in a battle for playing time in 2025 with Tank Bigsby and Bhayshul Tuten, with a new regime calling the shots. Etienne is a shakey RB3/flex.
Hubbard blew away everyone's expectations last year as the RB13 in fantasy points per game. He was the Panther's everydown workhorse and is primed to roll back into that job this year. Last season, he ranked third in snap share, fourth in opportunity share, 12th in weighted opportunities, and 14th in red zone touches. If Carolina's offense can improve in 2025, the red zone numbers should climb. In 2024, Carolina ranked 24th in yards per play and 21st in red zone scoring attempts per game. The addition of Tetairoa McMillan, the continued development of Xavier Legette and Jalen Coker, and the ascension of Bryce Young should improve those numbers. Hubbard has the talent and projected workload to crack the top ten backs in 2025. Last year, he ranked 11th in explosive run rate and seventh in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data).
Well, in 2024, Cook finally answered the question, "What could happen if Cook could score more than two rushing touchdowns in a season?" After back-to-back seasons with only two rushing scores, Buffalo loaded him with the seventh-most carries for a back inside the ten-yard line, and Cook responded with 16 rushing touchdowns (18 total touchdowns) as he finished as the RB11 in fantasy points per game. If Cook's prodigious touchdown scoring doesn't continue in 2025, he could be a letdown. He was the RB26 in expected fantasy points per game last year. The Bills still seemed hesitant to increase his volume, with only 239 touches and just four games with at least 20 touches. He is also involved in potentially contentious negotiations with the Bills for a new contract and sat out of voluntary OTAs. While Cook did show up for a mandatory session in June, this situation bears close scrutiny. Until the contract situation is settled, we value Cook more as a middling RB2 than the RB1 his ADP suggests.
Well, in 2024, Cook finally answered the question, "What could happen if Cook could score more than two rushing touchdowns in a season?" After back-to-back seasons with only two rushing scores, Buffalo loaded him with the seventh-most carries for a back inside the ten-yard line, and Cook responded with 16 rushing touchdowns (18 total touchdowns) as he finished as the RB11 in fantasy points per game.
If Cook's prodigious touchdown scoring doesn't continue in 2025, he could be a letdown. He was the RB26 in expected fantasy points per game last year. The Bills still seemed hesitant to increase his volume, with only 239 touches and just four games with at least 20 touches. He is also involved in potentially contentious negotiations with the Bills for a new contract and sat out of voluntary OTAs. While Cook did show up for a mandatory session in June, this situation bears close scrutiny.
Raheem Mostert lands with the Raiders as Ashton Jeanty's backup. Jeanty should be the team's clear bell-cow, with Mostert only offering some change of pace carrries weekly. Mostert looked like a player on his last NFL legs last season, with only a 14% missed tackle rate and 1.76 yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He's a deep league/final-round handcuff pick only.
Aaron Glenn has stated this offseason that the Jets could operate with more of a committee approach for the backfield for the 2025 season. That's definitely a worry for Hall, but he remains the most talented back in that room. If this is an equal competition for work based on talent alone, Hall should still be the unquestioned lead back in New York. Last year, Hall was the RB17 in fantasy points per game, ranking eighth in snap share, 15th in opportunity share, and tenth in weighted opportunity. Hall produced adequately on a per-touch basis last year, ranking 15th in explosive run rate, 16th in yards after contact per attempt, fifth in receiving yards per game, and 16th in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Hall should be a solid RB2 this season, even if he is ceding a little more work to Braelon Allen or Isaiah Davis.
Last year, Rachaad White lost his bell-cow role with Bucky Iriving asserting himself and taking over the backfield. It wasn't all doom and gloom for White, though. In Weeks 10-17, he still averaged 13.5 touches and 68.4 total yards as the RB18 in fantasy points per game. While I don't think that he will continue to rock along as an RB2 in 2025, he could easily retain RB3/flex value in one of the best offenses in the NFL. Last year, White did see his efficiency tick up with the decrease in workload, as he ranked 29th in missed tackles forced per attempt, 15th in yards after contact per attempt, and 18th in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). White could easily be Tampa Bay's version of Jaylen Warren.
Last year, Williams pulled off his best yesteryear Rachaad White or Leonard Fournette impression. A volume gobbling inefficient back who turned in an RB1 season (RB10). Williams ranked first in snap share, second in opportunity share, and first in red zone touches. Williams had 350 touches and 1,481 total yards. With all that said, Williams was one of the most inefficient per touch backs in the NFL. Among 46 qualifying backs, he ranked 44th in explosive run rate, 37th in missed tackle rate, and 40th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Williams could retain his stranglehold on the volume again in a contract year, but it's also possible that Blake Corum or Jarquez Hunter could eat into his workload. Williams is a top 15-20 running back who could easily be an RB1 again or see his stock come crashing down.
It will fly under the radar that Walker was the RB12 in fantasy points per game last season. Unfortunately, his season was cut short by injuries. Our biggest concern about Walker is the recent jump in his ADP, which makes him a very expensive option in fantasy -- a "buy high" candidate if you will. Aside from the injury concerns we do worry about a RBBC situation with Zach Charbonnet, a capable backup who could see increased usage if Walker struggles or gets injured. While he certainly has the upside to be a league winner -- the fact that he is currently being valued as a top tier fantasy RB give us pause. Classic boom or bust option. It's important to consider your risk tolerance and draft strategy when deciding whether to draft Walker.
It will fly under the radar that Walker was the RB12 in fantasy points per game last season. Unfortunately, his season was cut short by injuries.
McCaffrey's 2024 season was derailed by bilateral Achilles tendonitis. If you drafted him last year, you're probably saying, "hell no...I won't be walking down that road again." The good news is that in the small sample we got from McCaffrey last year, his numbers remained strong. In the three full games he played, he averaged 18.6 touches and 93.7 total yards, all while playing 81-94% of the snaps. McCaffrey's 22% missed tackle forced rate and his 1.80 yards per route run were strong (per Fantasy Points Data). Among those two statistical categories, McCaffrey ranked eighth-best (70 qualifying backs) and sixth-best (53 qualifying backs). Still, the fact remains that last season’s consensus first overall pick in redraft formats played only four games in 2024, averaging 12 PPR points per game and finishing as just the RB69 on the season. It is hard to trust that McCaffrey reportedly has "zero restrictions" at the moment, and his ongoing knee/Achilles issues make him a risky selection. While McCaffrey could certainly return to form this season, he is currently overpriced at No. 8 overall in ADP.
McCaffrey's 2024 season was derailed by bilateral Achilles tendonitis. If you drafted him last year, you're probably saying, "hell no...I won't be walking down that road again." The good news is that in the small sample we got from McCaffrey last year, his numbers remained strong. In the three full games he played, he averaged 18.6 touches and 93.7 total yards, all while playing 81-94% of the snaps. McCaffrey's 22% missed tackle forced rate and his 1.80 yards per route run were strong (per Fantasy Points Data). Among those two statistical categories, McCaffrey ranked eighth-best (70 qualifying backs) and sixth-best (53 qualifying backs).
Still, the fact remains that last season’s consensus first overall pick in redraft formats played only four games in 2024, averaging 12 PPR points per game and finishing as just the RB69 on the season. It is hard to trust that McCaffrey reportedly has "zero restrictions" at the moment, and his ongoing knee/Achilles issues make him a risky selection. While McCaffrey could certainly return to form this season, he is currently overpriced at No. 8 overall in ADP.
Achane continued his strong RB1 ways last year as the RB6 in fantasy points per game. In his 16 full games played, he averaged 17.3 touches and 92.6 total yards. His otherwordly per-touch efficiency didn't hold up last year, but that doesn't mean he was bad. Among 46 qualifying backs, he was 19th in explosive run rate and missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He was a stud in the passing game, sitting at ninth in yards per route run and second in target share and receiving yards per game. Still, we have some very legitimate concerns about Achane that steer us from trusting him as a fantasy RB1: -- Extensive injury history -- Over-reliance on big plays -- Will he see enough volume to be a consistent high-end fantasy producer?
Achane continued his strong RB1 ways last year as the RB6 in fantasy points per game. In his 16 full games played, he averaged 17.3 touches and 92.6 total yards. His otherwordly per-touch efficiency didn't hold up last year, but that doesn't mean he was bad. Among 46 qualifying backs, he was 19th in explosive run rate and missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He was a stud in the passing game, sitting at ninth in yards per route run and second in target share and receiving yards per game.
Still, we have some very legitimate concerns about Achane that steer us from trusting him as a fantasy RB1: -- Extensive injury history -- Over-reliance on big plays -- Will he see enough volume to be a consistent high-end fantasy producer?